Authentically conservative and eminently sensible policy wonk Bruce Bartlett - a former advisor to Reagan, GHW Bush, Jack Kemp and Ron Paul -
combats The GOP Crazy:
At the root of much of the dispute between Democrats and Republicans
over the so-called fiscal cliff is a deep disagreement over the welfare
state. Republicans continue to fight a long-running war against Social
Security, Medicare, Medicaid and many other social-welfare programs that
most Americans support overwhelmingly and oppose cutting.
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The bottom line on the central spending issue facing the US |
Republicans
in Congress opposed the New Deal and the Great Society, but Republican
presidents from Dwight D. Eisenhower through George H.W. Bush accepted
the legitimacy of the welfare state and sought to manage it properly and
fund it adequately. When Republicans regained control of Congress in
1994 they nevertheless sought to repeal the New Deal and Great Society
programs they had always opposed.
Energized by their success in abolishing the principal federal welfare program, Aid to Families With Dependent Children, in 1996, Republicans tried to abolish Social Security as well, through partial privatization during the George W. Bush administration, and they more recently have attempted to change Medicaid into a block grant program with funds going to the states and to turn Medicare into a voucher program.
In the 40th anniversary edition of his book, “Capitalism and Freedom,”
Milton Friedman advised conservatives to use crises as opportunities to
advance their agenda. “Only a crisis – actual or perceived – produces
real change,” he contended.
Thus Republicans are now using the fiscal impasse
to try to raise the age for Medicare and reduce Social Security
benefits by changing the index used to adjust them for inflation. They
know that such programs will be easier to abolish in the future if the
number of people who qualify can be reduced and benefits are cut so that
privatization becomes more attractive.
This is foolish and
reactionary. Moreover, there are sound reasons why a conservative would
support a welfare state. Historically, it has been conservatives like
the 19th century chancellor of Germany, Otto von Bismarck, who established the welfare state
in Europe. They did so because masses of poor people create social
instability and become breeding grounds for radical movements.
In
postwar Europe, conservative parties were the principal supporters of
welfare-state policies in order to counter efforts by socialists and
communists to abolish capitalism altogether. The welfare state was
devised to shave off the rough edges of capitalism and make it
sustainable. Indeed, the conservative icon Winston Churchill was among the founders of the British welfare state.
American
conservatives, being far more libertarian than their continental
counterparts, reject the welfare state for both moral and efficiency
reasons. It creates unhappiness, they believe, and inevitably becomes bloated, undermining incentives and economic growth.
One problem with this conservative view is its lack of an empirical foundation. Research
by Peter H. Lindert of the University of California, Davis, shows
clearly that the welfare state is not incompatible with growth while
providing a superior quality of life to many of those left to sink or
swim in America.
In a new paper
for the New America Foundation, Professor Lindert summarizes his
findings. He points out that there are huge efficiencies in providing
pensions and health care publicly rather than privately. A main reason
is that in a properly run welfare state, benefits are nearly universal,
which eliminates vast amounts of administrative overhead necessary to
decide who is entitled to benefits and who isn’t, as is the case in
America, and eliminates the disincentives to work resulting from benefit phase-outs.
A 2003 study in the New England Journal of Medicine
found that Canada’s single-payer health system had less than a third of
the per-capita administrative cost of the United States system, with
its many private insurance companies and overlapping government programs
– $307 per year in Canada versus $1,059 in the United States. And
although American conservatives are fond of pointing to cases where
Canadians come to the United States for treatment, a 2009 Harris poll found that 82 percent of Canadians favor their health system over the American one.
Americans believe that their health system is the best in the world, but in fact it is not. According to the Commonwealth Fund,
many countries achieve superior health quality at much lower cost than
paid by Americans. A detailed study of the United States and England in
the American Journal of Epidemiology in 2011 found that over a lifetime the English have better health than Americans at a fraction of the cost.
The one area where the United States tops all other countries in terms of health is cost. According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
the United States spent more than any other country – 17.4 percent of
gross domestic product on health in 2009, 8.3 percent through government
programs such as Medicare and 9.1 percent privately. By contrast,
Britain spent only 9.8 percent of G.D.P. on health, 8.2 percent publicly
and 1.6 privately.
Thus, for no more than the United States
already spends through government, we could have a national
health-insurance system equal to that in Britain. The 7.6 percent of
G.D.P. difference between American and British total health spending is
about equal to the revenue raised by the Social Security tax. So, in
effect, having a single-payer health system like Britain’s could
theoretically give Americans 7.6 percent of G.D.P. to spend on something
else – equivalent to abolishing the payroll tax.
This is a
powerful conservative argument for national health insurance. There are
many other ways, as well, in which what the conservatives call bloated
European welfare states are actually very efficient. This fact is
disguised in commonly cited data for spending as a share of G.D.P.
because so much social spending in the United States takes the form of
tax expenditures, which are de facto spending.
The O.E.C.D. recently calculated
net social spending in its member countries, taking account of tax
expenditures and outlays that individuals are forced to make to
compensate for the lack of commonly available public programs. On a
gross basis, the United States ranks 23rd of 27 countries in the study,
with social spending at 17.4 percent of G.D.P. versus an average of 22.4
percent. But based on adjusted data that accounts for tax expenditures,
United States social spending rises to 27.5 percent of G.D.P., putting
us in fifth place, well above the average of 22.2 percent.
American conservatives routinely assert that the people of Europe live in virtual destitution because of their swollen welfare states. But according to a commonly accepted index of life satisfaction,
many heavily taxed European countries rank well above the United
States, including the Netherlands (where total taxes were 38.7 percent
of G.D.P. in 2010 compared with 24.8 percent in the United States),
Norway (42.9 percent), Sweden (45.5 percent) and Denmark (47.6 percent).
This is the Tea Party lie that outs them as disconnected from both the historical and linguistic meaning of "conservative". They are clearly a band of radical ideologues who willfully ignore both the details and context of the existing situation and the inherent value of incrementalism in political policy.
ReplyDeleteFor all their talk of the "Founders", their bomb-throwing, take-no-prisoners approach has more in common with Robespierre than Jefferson and Washington.
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