This morning we have a banquet of bad news, triggered by a dive in the markets, days after the end of a debt ceiling hostage drama was expected to restore "confidence."
Floyd Norris at the New York Times says what no one wants to hear:
It has been three decades since the United States suffered a recession that followed on the heels of the previous one. But it could be happening again. The unrelenting negative economic news of the past two weeks has painted a picture of a United States economy that fell further and recovered less than we had thought.
On the heels of the Obama White House's former Council of Economic Advisors' head Larry Summers
giving us a one-in-three chance of a double dip into another full recession,
Business Week offers this bit of gloom from President Reagan's old CEA chief, along with worries of our current Fed chairman:
“This economy is really balanced on the edge,” Harvard University economist Martin Feldstein said in a Bloomberg TV interview on Aug. 2. “There’s now a 50 percent chance that we could slide into a new recession.” Even Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has referred in speeches to the risk of an economic stall...
Ezra Klein looks behind the Dow Jones drop, at the much more alarming weaknesses not just in our economy but in our politics - and an inability to conduct an even minimally informed public conversation on the problems we face:
... the Dow Jones isn’t diving because spending has risen, deficits have grown or stimulus policy has changed. It’s diving because of forces Washington can’t control, and in many cases, doesn’t understand very well. How many members of Congress do you think could give a coherent account of what has happened to oil or steel prices over the last three years? Or what’s happening in the Eurozone? Or to the yuan?
A dramatic gap has opened between the economy as Washington sees it -- and wants to intervene in it -- and the economy that actually exists.